New market study, "Cambodia Power Report Q2 2011", has been published

[PR-INSIDE]

Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Cambodia Power Report Q2 2011", is now available at Fast Market Research


The new Cambodia Power Report from BMI forecasts that the country will account for just 0.05% of Asia Pacific regional power generation by 2015, with a supply shortfall that may provide the need for imports from neighbouring countries. BMI's Asia Pacific power generation assumption for 2010 is 7,761 terawatt hours (TWh), representing an increase of 5.1% over the previous year.

We are forecasting a rise in regional generation to 9,901TWh by 2015, representing growth of 21.2% in 2011-2015.

In 2010, Asia Pacific thermal power generation will have totalled an estimated 6,189TWh, accounting for 79.7% of the total electricity supplied in the region. Our forecast for 2015 is 7,704TWh, implying 18.6% growth that reduces the market share of thermal generation to 77.8%. This is thanks largely to environmental concerns promoting renewable sources, hydro-electricity and nuclear generation. Cambodia's thermal generation in 2010 will have been an estimated 1.8TWh, or 0.03% of the regional total. By 2015 the country is expected to account for 0.04% of thermal generation in the region.

For Cambodia, the direct burning of wood and other organic fuels will have accounted for an estimated 74.7% of 2010 PED, followed by oil at 25.1%. Hydro makes a very small contribution, while coal and gas do not yet feature in the energy mix. Regional energy demand is forecast to reach 5,508mn toe by 2015, representing 20.0% growth from the estimated 2011 level. Cambodia's estimated 2010 market share of 0.15% is set to rise to 0.18% by 2015. Cambodia's share of hydro generation is expected to rise to 0.11% by 2015.

Cambodia is ranked 16th and last, behind even Taiwan, in BMI's updated Power Business Environment Ratings, thanks largely to the growth potential of power consumption and energy demand, offset by low scores in several other categories. It has the long-term potential to overtake Taiwan and Singapore above it.

BMI forecasts Cambodian real GDP growth averaging 6.74% a year in 2011-2015, with the 2011 assumption being an increase of 3.70%. The population is expected to expand from 15.1mn to 16.4mn by 2015, with per capita GDP and electricity consumption set to increase 60% and 81% respectively. Electricity consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 2.1TWh in 2010 to 4.8TWh in 2015. After power industry usage and system losses, we see a possible shortfall in 2015 supply of 1.1TWh, if generation grows at no more than our assumed average annual rate (2011-2015) of 19.08%. There is a clear risk of electricity shortages if the power industry cannot deliver adequate new capacity as demand soars.

In 2011-2020 we forecast an increase in Cambodian electricity generation of 436.5%, which is top of the range for the Asia Pacific region. This equates to 159.2% in 2015-2020, up from 107.0% in 2010-2015. PED growth in 2015-2020 is set to be 53.9%, up from the assumed 41.2% in 2011-2015, representing 117.2% for the entire forecast period. Hydro consumption is expected to rise from virtually zero to 7.6TWh between 2011 and 2020, with thermal power generation forecast to increase by 90.5% over the same period. More detailed long-term power forecasts can be found later in this report.

For more information or to purchase this report, go to:
- www.fastmr.com/prod/152554_cambodia_power_report_q2_2011.aspx


Report Table of Contents:

Industry Overview
- Global
- Table: Global Summary, 2008-2015
- Asia Pacific Region
- Table: Asia Pacific Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Asia Pacific Thermal Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh)
- Table: Asia Pacific Primary Energy Demand, 2008-2015 (mn toe)
- Table: Asia Pacific Gas Consumption, 2008-2015 (bcm)
- Table: Asia Pacific Coal Consumption, 2008-2015 (mn toe)
- Table: Asia Pacific Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2008-2015 (TWh)
Market Overview - Cambodia
- Primary Energy Demand
- Power Generation
- Power Consumption
- Regulation And Competition
- Pricing
- Power Transmission
Business Environment
- Asia Pacific Power Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Asia Regional Power Business Environment Ratings
- Cambodia's Power Rating Overview
Business Environment
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Cambodia's Power Outlook
- Generation
- Gas-Fired
- Oil-Fired
- Coal-Fired
- Nuclear Energy
- Hydro-Electric
- Renewable Energy
- Power Costs
- Transmission
- Table: Cambodia's Power Sector, 2008-2015
- Table: Cambodia's Thermal Power Sector, 2008-2015
- Table: Cambodia's Non-Thermal Power Sector, 2008-2015
- Table: Cambodia's Costs, 2008-2015
- Assumptions And Methodology
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
- Long-Term Power Outlook
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Cambodia - Economic Activity
Power Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts
- Global Snapshot
- Table: Global Summary, 2013-2020
- Regional Outlook
- Table: Asia Pacific Electricity Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Asia Pacific Primary Energy Demand, 2013-2020 (mn toe)
- Table: Asia Pacific Thermal Power Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Table: Asia Pacific Hydro-Electric Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
Table: Asia Pacific Nuclear Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
- Cambodia Country Overview
- Methodology And Risks To Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Power Industry
- Cross-Checks
- Sources

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Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

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